Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.007702 0.009075 0.010727 0.012890 0.015699 0.019292 0.024362
2025-03-23 0.005892 0.007495 0.009650 0.012864 0.017745 0.025275 0.038709
2025-03-30 0.004788 0.006377 0.008661 0.012370 0.018648 0.029795 0.054007
2025-04-06 0.004116 0.005674 0.008033 0.012128 0.019717 0.034988 0.075213
2025-04-13 0.003730 0.005302 0.007799 0.012417 0.021775 0.043240 0.113998
2025-04-20 0.003504 0.005130 0.007835 0.013164 0.025026 0.056547 0.194723
2025-04-27 0.003276 0.004914 0.007746 0.013637 0.027901 0.071553 0.334325
2025-05-04 0.003023 0.004618 0.007459 0.013626 0.029609 0.084877 0.543087
2025-05-11 0.002808 0.004359 0.007196 0.013598 0.031286 0.100365 0.935216
2025-05-18 0.002593 0.004075 0.006842 0.013278 0.032005 0.113136 1.554025
2025-05-25 0.002372 0.003760 0.006384 0.012619 0.031426 0.119293 2.293132
2025-06-01 0.002191 0.003501 0.006012 0.012099 0.031134 0.127301 3.698664
2025-06-08 0.002075 0.003367 0.005908 0.012320 0.033883 0.162664 16.652816
2025-06-15 0.001950 0.003206 0.005730 0.012326 0.036006 0.202429 280.053724
2025-06-22 0.001804 0.002990 0.005407 0.011861 0.036031 0.226058 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001692 0.002830 0.005185 0.011633 0.036998 0.266186 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001626 0.002753 0.005138 0.011906 0.040527 0.363646 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001591 0.002736 0.005224 0.012611 0.046970 0.588388 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001542 0.002686 0.005226 0.013057 0.052630 0.928417 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001474 0.002589 0.005100 0.013046 0.055606 1.295686 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001411 0.002497 0.004978 0.013020 0.058597 1.858658 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001340 0.002384 0.004791 0.012718 0.059420 2.391856 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001261 0.002248 0.004530 0.012097 0.057354 2.554098 NaN